By Dan Hoover STAFF WRITER dchoover@greenvillenews.com
Former New York Mayor Rudolph Giuliani boosted the congressional
candidacy of one Republican and quietly laid the groundwork for his
own potential 2008 presidential run during Wednesday appearances in
Greenville.
Giuliani, 62, made no secret he's considering the race, and his
latest three-stop visit to the Republican heartland of a pivotal
early primary state underscored that.
After touting the 5th Congressional District candidacy of Rock
Hill's state Rep. Ralph Norman in a fund-raiser in an upscale
downtown restaurant, Giuliani told reporters the only parameter he
had set for himself is not to make a decision before the 2006
elections.
"I can't tell you how I'm going to decide because I haven't
decided yet or how I'm going to go about doing it," he said.
Advertisement
|
 |
While hinting the outcome of November's balloting might affect
his decision, Giuliani said, "Things are going to be tough and
close, but some of the things we (Republicans) have emphasized have
become much more important now."
He said the Democrats' "casting aside" of Sen. Joseph Lieberman
of Connecticut to nominate an anti-Iraq war candidate has made the
2006 elections a referendum on Iraq and the war on terror. That
plays in the GOP's favor, Giuliani said.
Private meeting
If Giuliani sought to downplay his future aspirations at the
Norman event and with reporters, that wasn't the case earlier in the
morning when he met privately with a standing-room crowd of invited
Republican movers and shakers.
In a Westin Poinsett Hotel meeting room set up for 50, standees
lined the walls, said Rick Beltram, Spartanburg GOP chairman and one
of the invited guests.
Former state party Chairman Barry Wynn of Spartanburg, a major
fund-raiser for President Bush, chaired the gathering and told the
group that Giuliani would make a decision in January, Beltram said.
Giuliani, in brief remarks, touched on terrorism, tax policy and
immigration and urged the group to focus on the November elections
where the party's hold on Congress is at stake.
Wynn said later he is "committed" to a Giuliani candidacy, if
there is one.
Hollis "Chip" Felkel, a business development-advocacy executive,
said Giuliani's "measured approach, judging from the (group's)
reactions, played pretty well."
Felkel, veteran of national and state GOP campaigns, described
the crowd as a combination of party fund-raisers, activists and
single-issue proponents.
Questions remain
But questions surround how Giuliani would play with South
Carolina's strongly conservative GOP voters, some of whom might find
a Northeastern candidate too moderate for their tastes.
Doug Wavle, a Bob Jones University employee and a member of the
GOP's state executive committee, noting Giuliani's geographic roots,
said, "I don't see his stand on issues as being close to South
Carolina's," although he said he might make inroads with
transplants.
"But conservatives -- both social and fiscal -- would tend not to
support him in great strength," Wavle said.
Wynn dismissed the contention that Giuliani wouldn't have broad
appeal in South Carolina, noting that the impact of Christian
conservatives focused on social issues is being eroded by the
in-migration of more traditional Republicans from other states.
"The overarching issues are leadership and security," Giuliani's
strengths, he said.
Larry Sabato, director of the Center for Politics at the
University of Virginia, said Wednesday, "One of the biggest
questions in presidential politics right now is whether the star
status of 'America's mayor' will let Rudy off the hook with
conservative Republicans on hot-button social issues."
Sabato said he's "struck that some conservatives really are
willing to look the other way, at least for now. This is driven
because of respect for Rudy and also because of the realization that
no Bush look-alike is going to win the 2008 general election."
But Sabato said Giuliani's allure will fade when "some of the
usual ideological screens will come back into use."
Giuliani disagrees
Giuliani disagreed.
Asked in a generic sense how a Northeastern Republican
presidential candidate can be sold in the South, Giuliani said it's
by self-definition, "who you are, what you believe in and then you
find out." Total agreement isn't necessary, he said.
Giuliani discounted regional philosophical differences, saying,
"People are more similar than you think. There isn't that great a
difference in the concerns people have. Ultimately, they're looking
for effective leaders and (candidates) have to figure out whether
you can make that appeal and whether people by accepting who you are
will vote for you."
Warren Tompkins, a Columbia consultant who was President Bush's
2004 southeastern strategist, attended the private meeting.
He described Giuliani as having "star power and proven
leadership. Anybody who could straighten out New York City could do
a lot for America." Tompkins said he isn't affiliated with any 2008
contender.
The big question for Giuliani, Tompkins said, is "can social
issues be overcome by leadership (qualities)."
Polls are close
National polls show a tight, but so far mythical, race between
Giuliani and Arizona Sen. John McCain, the far and away favorite of
South Carolina Republicans, according to state polls.
The June Gallup Poll had Giuliani-McCain at 29-24 percent, but
the same month's Cook Report/RT Strategies Poll had the exact
reverse, with McCain on top.
In horserace polls, Giuliani, like McCain, tops New York Sen.
Hillary Clinton both nationally and in the Empire State.
The July WNBC/Marist Poll gave Giuliani a 52-43 percent edge, but
the poll noted that although Giuliani is the favorite, "Many aren't
sure he will run."
Giuliani was in Greenville to speak at a motivational seminar.
|