Coble, Tenenbaum to vie for nomination
Two prominent Democrats -- state Superintendent of Education Inez
Tenenbaum and Columbia Mayor Bob Coble -- jumped into the race for
the U.S. Senate on Wednesday, guaranteeing an unexpectedly lively
contest within the party.
Tenenbaum, 52, and Coble, 50, are two of the strongest candidates
South Carolina Democrats have to offer, Republicans and Democrats
said Wednesday.
Democrats are billing the matchup as a party strengthening
exercise, one that will increase their chances of winning a U.S.
Senate seat in 2004.
U.S. Sen. Fritz Hollings, D-S.C., who has held the seat since
1966, announced last week that he would not run for a seventh full
term.
"Inez Tenenbaum is a proven, independent voice for her state and
will put South Carolina's needs first," said Michael Siegel,
spokesman for the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee. "Bob
Coble's addition to this race is one that serves to strengthen the
Democratic message.
"If Republicans think they have a lock on South Carolina, think
again."
Republicans in this GOP-leaning state describe a Tenenbaum-Coble
primary as a chance for two Democratic heavyweights from the same
part of the state to sap each other's strength.
State Republican Party chairman Katon Dawson said Democrats are
disorganized, in that many had hoped for a unified front behind
Tenenbaum. In 2002, she won more votes statewide than U.S. Sen.
Lindsey Graham and Gov. Mark Sanford, both Republicans.
Coble has never run statewide.
"The Democrats are starting from scratch," said Dan Allen,
spokesman for the National Republican Senatorial Committee. "It
looks as if they might have a pretty bloody primary."
But Democratic prospects are looking up since November, when the
party was trounced by Republicans, losing races for the U.S. Senate,
the governor's office and six of eight other statewide offices.
It was tough enough for the Democrats to find a candidate to run
against Graham in 2002. Democratic nominee Alex Sanders, who would
go on to lose by 10 percentage points, used to joke he was the
party's ninth choice.
After Sanders' loss, many Democrats wondered who -- without
Hollings -- the party could get to run for Senate in 2004. Had the
party lost its grip in South Carolina for good?
Now, with Tenenbaum and Coble in the race, the future looks
brighter, said S.C. Democratic Party chairman Joe Erwin.
"We needed to get back on our horse, and we're doing that," he
said. "And part of what it takes is good men and women running for
office."
Clemson University political science professor Bruce Ransom said
the Democrats would have preferred one, as opposed to multiple,
candidates.
"If it can unite behind a single candidate, it means you have a
unified party," Ransom said. "It means you don't have the expenses
of a primary. It means you can focus on the general election, and it
puts you in a stronger position for that election."
The more obvious choice for the Democrats, he said, is Tenenbaum,
since she is a proven statewide winner and Coble is not.
But both candidates are seasoned on the campaign trail, drawing
on a strong base in the Midlands. Tenenbaum has already begun hiring
campaign staff. Coble is interviewing potential staffers and will
begin polling next week.
The Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee, charged with
electing as many senators from the party as possible, has conducted
polls showing Tenenbaum would easily beat three Republicans who are
running: U.S. Rep. Jim DeMint of Greenville, Charleston developer
Thomas Ravenel and former Attorney General Charlie Condon of
Charleston.
"Polls don't determine who is a great Senate candidate, and it's
her pollster," Coble said.
Tenenbaum said she would formally announce her candidacy within
the next two weeks.
Coble plans a formal announcement after Labor Day.
Wednesday's informal announcements took many political observers
by surprise and came about in an unusual way.
Tenenbaum's husband, retired businessman Samuel Tenenbaum, sent
out dozens of e-mails to friends and colleagues Tuesday night
informing them that his wife would run. Tenenbaum said she did not
know her husband had made the announcement by e-mail.
Coble declared his intention to run after he was asked by a
reporter to comment on Tenenbaum's announcement.