Americans like to drive fast. But how fast is too fast?
A recent survey provides some information about the price we pay in
human lives for speed. Results of the survey, conducted by the Land
Transport Safety Authority of New Zealand, indicate that the recent trend
toward raising speed limits on rural highways has resulted in a steep rise
in traffic fatalities.
New Zealand commissioned the study because many drivers there are
clamoring for higher speed limits. New Zealand's current speed limit is
100 kilometers per hour, or about 62 mph.
The study of U.S. highway statistics found that 1,880 more people died
between 1996 and 1999 in the 22 states with high speed limits on rural
interstates. The study said the 10 states that raised limits to 75 mph --
all in the Midwest and West -- had 38 percent more deaths per million
miles driven than states with 65 mph limits, amounting to about 780 more
deaths. The 12 states that raised their limits to 70 mph saw a 35 percent
increase, or about 1,100 additional deaths.
Part of the problem, of course, is that many drivers routinely exceed
the limit by 5 to 8 mph or more no matter what it is. A review of six
states by the institute found that drivers are moving down the road faster
than any time since the institute began collecting data in 1987.
For example, in Colorado, which has a 75-mph speed limit, one in four
drivers was clocked going more than 80 mph. In California, where the speed
limit is 70 mph, one in five drivers was going 80 mph or more.
Speed is not the only factor. This study did not examine the effect
that millions more heavy SUVs might have had on the fatality rates. Nor
did the study examine the effects of other variables, such as the tendency
to drive faster in rural states where cities are farther apart.
But overall, the fatality rate has decreased over the same time period.
In fact, it fell each year from 1996 to 1999, from 1.69 deaths per million
miles traveled to 1.55 deaths. So, it seems safe to assume that speed
played a role in states where higher fatalities and higher speed limits
coincided.
The question is whether that fact is disturbing enough for states to
lower speed limits. The reality is that safety is not the only factor in
determining speed limits. If states wanted to reduce the number of
fatalities to zero, they could lower interstate speed limits to 25 mph and
enforce the limit with thousands of state troopers patrolling the
highways.
But that, of course, is unrealistic. Even the 55 mph speed limit,
which, many will recall was instituted to save gasoline during the oil
embargo of the '70s, was considered too slow by many. That is what
prompted the widespread raising of interstate speed limits.
The cold arithmetic of the New Zealand study indicates that in the 22
states with higher speed limits, an average of about 29 more people died
per year than in other states. Is that too high a price to pay for higher
speeds?
We doubt that drivers in most states are in any rush to lower highway
speed limits. Perhaps the best we can hope for is better enforcement of
the speed limits we have.
Study indicates that fatalities have increased as a result of
higher speed limits.
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