As he promised to do during the 2002 campaign, Gov. Mark Sanford
has pitched a sensible $5.1 billion plan for transforming state
government into a no-frills, no-fat administrative machine that runs
on current resources and is accountable to the public. Better still,
Sanford's proposed financing for the plan relies on no tricks or
gimmicks to meet the state constitutional balanced-budget
requirement. He proposes an honest budget, which is a refreshing
novelty.
But does he possess the political skills to get this excellent
plan, which treats the Grand Strand relatively well, through the
General Assembly more or less intact? Or will the Sanford budget,
the product of months of fact-finding, planning and preparation,
turn out to be little more than a dust-gathering academic
exercise?
Given the many cozy, long-established political arrangements that
Sanford proposes to disrupt, he is going to have to move rapidly
beyond his sometimes diffident, sometimes distracted, often detached
governing style to get legislators to take his plan seriously.
Shutting down University of South Carolina branch campuses and 15
state agencies, for instance, prospectively tromps the toes of
hundreds of thousands of South Carolinians with a vested - or
sentimental - interest in the status quo: alumni, agency clients,
state workers, vendors, etc. These people - and their lobbyists -
will be in fervid contact with legislators, begging that their
favorite campus, program or agency be spared the ax and threatening
retaliation for legislators who fail to vote their way.
Same goes for his proposal to shut down six state elective
constitutional offices, leaving only the attorney general and
governor elected by the voters. Those functions would be folded into
the governor's Cabinet. Politicians will hate the plan because it
deprives them of opportunities to hold lesser offices - such as
treasurer, agriculture commissioner, secretary of state or
comptroller general - to build name recognition for runs at higher
state offices or seats in Congress. Many educators will fight the
loss of the elective education superintendent, on the putative
ground that it politicizes public education (as if it weren't
politicized already).
Couple the natural legislative tendency to preserve the status
quo even though it wastes money with the fact that every seat in the
General Assembly is up for grabs this year, and prospects that
Sanford plan could die aborning are high. That's why Sanford's
preferred method for selling his proposals to the public and to
legislators - instructing them on why his ideas are better
than what exists now - won't cut it on selling this plan.
If he is to get it passed this year - or even next year - Sanford
and his aides will have to exercise constant hands-on, responsive,
sensitive-yet-tough-minded contact with legislators of both parties.
He'll have to make trades that deal with the concerns of key
legislators without detracting from his goals. He may have to make
judicious use of veto threats for budget bills that don't meet his
expectations. And so on.
Can he do it? Nothing in his record as a member of Congress or as
governor thus far suggests that he can. But we're hoping he'll
surprise us.
A governor bright enough to figure out how to untangle the
state's governance mess - with no tax increase - should be able to
learn and exercise the political skills necessary to bring his plan
to
fruition.