By Dan Hoover STAFF WRITER dchoover@greenvillenews.com
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Sixty-five days from now, South Carolina voters will choose their
next governor between two men from strikingly dissimilar backgrounds
and equally divergent visions for the South Carolina of their
dreams.
One, of course, is already there -- Mark Sanford, 46, a
controversial figure even among fellow Republicans, a self-styled
reformer distrustful of government who's more known for battling the
Legislature than signing landmark bills into law.
Democrat Tommy Moore, 56, who won his state Senate seat in 1980
when Sanford was a college underclassman, is the quintessential team
player, a believer in government who is as comfortable in the
off-the-floor legislative give-and-take as Sanford is uncomfortable
with it.
The Legislature will be a focal point of the campaign, predicted
John Simpkins, a Charleston School of Law professor and associate
director of Furman University's Richard W. Riley Institute.
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Simpkins said, "Moore may find support by campaigning as someone
who can work with the Legislature, while Gov. Sanford could point to
them as frustrating his ambitions for reform."
But for Moore to have a chance to win, Simpkins said he will
"have to tap into voter anger (and) if Moore can find common cause
with disaffected Republicans, he could eat into the governor's base
in Republican strongholds like Lexington County and make a real race
of it."
"Still, it remains to be seen if some Republicans hate Sanford so
much that they actually would vote for a Democrat," Simpkins said.
Differing standpointsDuring interviews with The Greenville News last
week, each man made the Legislature central to his agenda, but from
differing standpoints.
For Sanford, that means creating a more streamlined government
and a more equitable power balance between the General Assembly and
the executive branch through a second phase of governmental
restructuring -- a decade and a half after the first -- that would
mean a stronger governor and a less powerful Legislature.
"We're saying that 170 different power centers, the by-product of
a legislatively dominated state, create an inward-looking political
system," he said.
"If you don't have as a co-equal, third branch of government, the
executive branch, that looks statewide in a way that (legislators)
can't because they represent a particular district. It's a very
diffused system that we believe is costly, and at times,
inefficient."
Showing a more pragmatic side after nearly four years in
Columbia, Sanford says that if some of his other initiatives bog
down, he will accept "course corrections" and move on. He excludes
tax cuts and spending restraints.
"If things that we believe in, feel strongly about, but have very
little chance ... we would back away from some of those fights to
put more time, more emphasis and more energy into the restructuring
debate that I think will go to the heart of whether we change things
or don't change things."
For Moore, it means using his 28 years in the Senate to make the
system work again. Having headed conference committees that worked
out legislation that had proven bitterly divisive on the House and
Senate floors, Moore says he's the one to return the Governor's
Office to its traditional role. Role of 'power'Moore said the
question isn't who's got the power, "but what are you going to do
with it, whether you're talking about the governor or the General
Assembly, but especially the governor. When you can't communicate or
sit down and work things out, you can't go to the people and say, 'I
can work this out if I had more power.' They want to know what
you're doing with what you have."
The battle will almost certainly involve the dichotomy of high
unemployment, cited by Moore, and solid job growth cited by Sanford.
The men come from different places and perspectives.
Moore grew up in a mill village in Aiken County's Horse Creek
Valley, a barber's son, the youngest of three brothers. He attended
public schools, worked in drug stores as a teen and graduated from
the University of South Carolina's Aiken branch near his home, then
built a family business from scratch. The firm installs and repairs
industrial boilers.
He has devoted much of his life to politics and displays a zest
for the process, interplay and camaraderie.
Sanford, whose father was a doctor, was born in Fort Lauderdale,
Fla., and transplanted to sprawling, historic Coosaw Plantation in
Beaufort County as a teen. He is a relative newcomer to politics, a
man more comfortable with ideas than the hurly-burly of legislative
backrooms and a self-described servant-leader with an ill-disguised
disdain for political careerists.
Unlike Moore, Sanford attended private schools, Furman University
and then the University of Virginia's Darden School of Business for
his MBA. Then it was on to Wall Street before returning to the
Lowcountry and a venture into development. Varied backgroundsWilliam
Moore, a College of Charleston political scientist, said from a
financial point of view, Sanford "inherited wealth and married
wealth." Jenny Sullivan Sanford is the granddaughter of the founder
of the Skil power tool company, and her father, John, was head of a
major Philadelphia-based, northeastern real estate firm.
Sanford finished at Furman in 1983 at age 23, worked in real
estate in the Charleston area, and then became a volunteer
aide/driver for Democrat Phil Lader's unsuccessful gubernatorial
campaign. Then it was off to grad school at UVA and a summer
internship at Goldman Sachs. He got the MBA in 1988 at age 28.
Post-MBA, Sanford was a financial analyst in New York before
returning to Charleston in 1992 to launch his own firm, Norton and
Sanford, in which he was involved in leasing, brokering and managing
property. Well into 1993, he jumped into the GOP's 1st Congressional
District primary, pledging to promote limited government, lower
taxes and term limits. In an upset, he won, served three terms and
came home.
His political career, barely 12 years old with fewer than 10
years in office, has been marked by noncomformity and winning where
the experts dismissed him as a boat-rocking but inconsequential
upstart.
For all his talk of being a businessman first and foremost,
Sanford's business has been irregular, and by now he's spent more
time in elective office than in the private sector.
Reminded that his political career now exceeds his years in the
private sector, Sanford says, "You raise an interesting point," then
explains that his mindset isn't that of a career politician.
"If you look at my voting record in Congress, you'll see I was
bound and determined not to go back to politics," Sanford said of
votes that often had him on the losing side with only a handful of
others voting his way.
Among the more recent instances he cited was his veto of funding
authorization for the Lexington Medical Center's heart facility, one
that set off a firestorm in one of the state's strongest Republican
counties.
"It was just plain (politically) destructive and it's going to be
used against me in this election," said the governor. Restless
DemosThe Upstate, never a treasure trove of Democratic primary
votes, hasn't seen much of Moore and with the primary now almost
three months back, some Democrats are getting restless.
Andy Arnold, Greenville County Democratic Party chairman, said
that Moore "must do more in the Upstate" to capitalize on his
strengths as a campaigner.
"He has an impressive life story, which is a great contrast to
the 'silver spoon' life story of Sanford. Moore is a natural
speaker. He connects to normal folks, who must actually work for a
living. Unfortunately, thus far, Sen. Moore has not spent enough
time in Greenville County to allow those strengths to help him,"
Arnold said.
But Arnold gives Moore a pass.
"I do understand that since changing campaign managers, he has
become more focused and has been raising more money."
But Brandon Brown of Taylors, a Democratic state House candidate,
said of Moore's lack of visibility in the state's most populous
county, "If a candidate wants to be governor, he might consider
shaking a few hands in Greenville."
"Check my schedule, go with me," Moore challenges, pointing to
days spent on the phone, dialing for dollars, and evenings and
weekends shaking hands, spreading his message.
At the possible cost of causing Democrats to fret over his
visibility, Moore says he raised from $800,000 to $1 million during
August, a feat for a candidate who needed 18 months to reach $1.2
million.
"It tells you that a number of businesspeople who have
traditionally given money to Republicans are opening up their
checkbooks," said Hollis "Chip" Felkel, a Greenville public affairs
strategist with long experience in GOP campaigns. "It raises
eyebrows."
But in a state where Republicans have held the governorship for
16 of the last 20 years and have won five of eight contests dating
back 32 years, Moore faces demographic and financial challenges.
Moore money starved?Moore emerged from his primary with $149,000 in
cash after raising a modest $1.29 million. By contrast, Sanford came
out of the GOP primary with $4.26 million remaining from $6.33
million raised, according to state Ethics Commission reports.
That was Moore's first victory outside his
Aiken-Edgefield-McCormick-Saluda district. The other time Moore
ventured beyond a safe District 25, was in 1994 when he lost a
runoff for the 3rd Congressional District's Democratic nomination.
The victor, Jim Bryan, lost to Republican state Representative
Lindsey Graham, now a U.S. senator.
Aside from money, only two recent independent polls offer any
kind of yardstick for measuring the pair's relative strength.
Going into the pivotal Labor Day weekend, Sanford had slipped in
Survey USA and Rasmussen Reports.
In the former, his approval rating fell to 51 percent in July
from 55 in June and his disapproval number rose to 45 percent from
37 percent.
Perhaps as ominous for an incumbent was the Rasmussen July survey
that placed Sanford under 50 percent, at 47 percent vs. Moore's 38.
That was down from a 51-39 bulge a month before.
If comparing their June primary showings, Sanford took 64.7
percent against an unknown, underfunded challenger, a
less-than-stellar showing for an incumbent. Moore fared better among
Democrats, taking 63.6 percent and more than doubling the votes of
his major opponent, Florence Mayor Frank Willis, who outspent him by
42 percent.
The anybody-but-Sanford votes -- for Moore and Lovelace --
totaled 166,135. Sanford's tally was 160,238. Add Moore's two
primary foes and the ABS vote was 216,386. However, the 7.3 percent
turnout was among the lowest on record.
Still, Felkel says, "At this point, Sanford doesn't have to do a
whole lot because Moore doesn't seem to have caught fire with
anybody, even his own people. Unity unevenFar from discounting
Moore's chances, state Rep. David Mack, D-Charleston, chairman of
the Legislative Black Caucus, is buoyantly optimistic. He predicts
that Moore "is going to shock a lot of people" because of Republican
defections and erosion of independent voters who flocked to Sanford
in 2002.
Sanford's GOP isn't exactly monolithic where he's concerned.
Republican divisions have led at least one GOP senator,
Lexington's Jake Knotts, to go to the brink of an independent
candidacy before backing Moore.
Other GOP lawmakers, irked by his repeated criticism, including
the pigs-in-the-Statehouse incident, and their well-publicized
battles, have criticized Sanford publicly in stronger terms than
have been heard around the Statehouse since the more freewheeling
eras of the past.
Republicans for Moore is also being cranked up, with Horry County
Treasurer Lois Eargle, George Shissias of Columbia, Trey Ward of
Greenville, Champ Covington of Greenville, "a lot of people who vote
Republican in most cases without being card-carrying activists,"
Moore said.
An independent poll showing Sanford's support had dropped to
under 50 percent and led Moore by only nine percentage points is a
potential red flag for the governor, Felkel said.
"That's a dangerous spot for anyone. Should Moore all of a sudden
accidentally get engaged and remember he's running, then he might
make more of a dent," Felkel said. |