NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT FRI
SEP 24 2004
...CORE OF HURRICANE JEANNE EXPECTED TO
MOVE OVER THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS ON SATURDAY...
A
HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST
FROM FLORIDA CITY NORTHWARD TO ST. AUGUSTINE...INCLUDING LAKE
OKEECHOBEE.
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR
THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS ...INCLUDING THE ABACOS...ANDROS
ISLAND...BERRY ISLANDS...BIMINI...
ELEUTHERA...GRAND BAHAMA
ISLAND...AND NEW PROVIDENCE. A HURRICANG WARNING MEANS
THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN
EFFECT FOR THE NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND GEORGIA COASTS FROM NORTH
OF ST. AUGUSTINE NORTHWARD TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA. A
HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS
ARE
POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA IN THE NEXT 36 HOURS.
A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL
BAHAMAS ...INCLUDING CAT ISLAND...THE EXUMAS... LONG
ISLAND...RUM CAY...AND SAN SALVADOR. A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
IN THE WARNING AREA IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
AT 11 PM
EDT...0300Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN EXTENDED
NORTHWARD ALONG THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA TO THE SUWANEE
RIVER.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM
SOUTH OF FLORIDA CITY AROUND THE SOUTHERN END OF THE FLORIDA
PENINSULA AND NORTHWARD ALONG THE WEST COAST TO THE SUWANEE
RIVER...INCLUDING FLORIDA
BAY...AND THE FLORIDA KEYS NORTH
OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE.
WE ARE REMINDED THAT YOM
KIPPUR...A SOLEMN JEWISH HOLIDAY...WILL LAST UNTIL SUNDOWN
SATURDAY. SOME OF YOUR JEWISH NEIGHBORS IN THE WATCH AND
WARNING AREAS OBSERVING YOM KIPPUR WILL NOT BE LISTENING TO
RADIOS OR WATCHING TV...AND MAY NOT BE AWARE OF
THE
HURRICANE SITUATION.
SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE
THAT AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE LARGE EYE OF HURRICANE JEANNE
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.5 NORTH...
LONGITUDE
74.9 WEST OR ABOUT 135 MILES..220 KM...EAST OF GREAT ABACO
ISLAND. THIS ALSO ABOUT 315 MILES...510 KM...EAST OF THE
SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST.
JEANNE IS MOVING TOWARD THE
WEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. ON THIS
TRACK...THE CORE OF JEANNE WILL BE MOVING ACROSS
THE
NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS ON SATURDAY.
MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH...160 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS AND JEANNE HAS THE CHANCE TO BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE
BEFORE LANDFALL IN FLORIDA.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS
EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM... FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO
205 MILES...335 KM...MAINLY TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE
CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 964
MB...28.47 INCHES.
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 8 FEET
ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS
BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR THE CENTER OF JEANNE ON
THE NORTH SIDE OF GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND AND ON
THE WEST SIDE
OF THE ABACO ISLANDS. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET
ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS CAN BE EXPECTED ON THE WEST SIDE OF
THE OTHER ISLANDS OF THE BAHAMAS IN THE HURRICANE WARNING
AREA.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE
NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING
WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE
CENTER MAKES LANDFALL
ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST
COAST.
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE
ALONG THE TRACK OF JEANNE OVER THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS AND
FLORIDA.
TIDES WILL GRADUALLY BE RISING IN THE WARNED
AREA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ADDITIONALLY...DANGEROUS
SURF AND RIP CURRENTS...CAUSED BY LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY
HURRICANE JEANNE...ARE POSSIBLE ELSEWHERE
ALONG THE
SOUTHEASTERN U.S. COAST AND THE NORTHWEST AND CENTRAL BAHAMAS
FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
REPEATING THE 11 PM EDT
POSITION...26.5 N... 74.9 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR
12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH. MINIMUM
CENTRAL PRESSURE... 964 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION
SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR
LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE
ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 AM EDT FOLLOWED
BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 AM
EDT.