S.C.’s
first-in-the-South primary status at risk
By LEE
BANDY Staff
Writer
South Carolina’s special status as the “gateway to the South” for
Republicans seeking their party’s presidential nomination is under
siege.
Seven states have moved up their contests to the first Tuesday in
February, threatening South Carolina’s first-in-the-South
primary.
“We are being assaulted from all sides,” said state Republican
Party chairman Katon Dawson.
South Carolina’s primary has been on a Saturday, 10 days after
New Hampshire’s.
States moving up their primaries to the first Tuesday following
the New Hampshire contest — which would put them ahead of South
Carolina — include Arkansas, Delaware, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Texas,
Virginia and Wisconsin.
North Carolina is considering moving its primary to the same
date.
“They’ve seen the success we’ve been able to generate in South
Carolina, and they want to take advantage of it,” said Luke Byars,
state GOP executive director. “I don’t blame them.”
GOP officials estimate that the 2000 presidential primary between
then-Texas Gov. George W. Bush and U.S. Sen. John McCain of Arizona
generated $40 million in revenue for the state.
“It’s all about economics,” Dawson said. “And the states all want
a piece of it.”
Besides economics, states are moving their primaries up in an
effort to play a greater role in selecting presidential
nominees.
Since 1980, South Carolina’s status as a key Republican
presidential primary state has grown immensely. Politicians and
pundits look to the contest as an early indicator of how the rest of
the South will vote.
In 2000, South Carolina’s Feb. 19 contest was one of the earliest
in the nation. It drew busloads of reporters who wanted to know
whether voters would support maverick McCain or prefer an
establishment type, Bush.
The state’s political profile was raised. Hotels and restaurants
made money from the hordes that descended, and candidates spent
significant time in the state. During the campaign, South Carolina
also was featured in national newspapers and evening newscasts.
The state GOP is determined not to lose that advantage in
2008.
“We’ve already told the Republican National Committee that our
primary will be in the national spotlight, regardless of what others
do,” Dawson said.
S.C. Republicans have given their chairman authority to change
the primary date as often as he must to protect the state’s
first-in-the-South contest.
New Hampshire law requires that its first-in-the-nation primary
be held at least seven days before any other state’s.
Since its primary in 1980, the S.C. contest has been gaining
stature. State voters have correctly predicted who the Republican
nominee would be, and candidates have become attuned to the
importance the primary plays.
More than a dozen years ago, the late GOP consultant Lee Atwater
looked at the schedule of GOP primaries and decided he could put up
a “firewall” between New Hampshire and the explosive multistate
primaries of early March. His home state of South Carolina would go
a few days early.
Since then, Republicans elected president have learned the GOP
road to the White House runs straight through South Carolina.
The jockeying for position is expected to continue between now
and 2008. Those who would reorganize the system say it would allow
more participation by voters in more states before the presidential
nominee is decided.
In 2000, the GOP nominee for president was chosen by March 7,
before two-thirds of the states could hold primaries. |