TROPICAL
WEATHER
Bonnie, Charley expected in Carolinas this
weekend
By Tonya Root The Sun News
Carolina residents can sing the alphabet song this hurricane
season with the first storm Alex brushing by the Grand Strand last
week and now Bonnie and Charley on their way.
The second and third storms, Bonnie and Charley respectively,
will arrive in the area this weekend after making landfall on the
Gulf side of Florida as hurricanes.
"Both make landfall in the eastern Gulf of Mexico and track
across the Carolinas this weekend," said Tom Matheson, a warning
coordination meteorologist for the National Weather Service in
Wilmington, N.C. "The wind threat is not as great as it would be had
they made landfall on the East Coast ... but decaying tropical
cyclones are well known to cause tornadoes and flooding."
Many residents in Horry, Georgetown and Brunswick, N.C., counties
probably remember Hurricane Bonnie from Aug. 26, 1998. Then Bonnie
made landfall as a Category 3 storm near Cape Fear, N.C. Towns
sustained considerable damage.
Brunswick County officials reported $21 million in damage,
including 143 structures damaged in Calabash. Further south in North
Myrtle Beach, officials reported about $30 million in damage while
Myrtle Beach calculated about $6 million in damage from Bonnie in
1998.
The brush with Alex and now potential flooding problems and
tornadoes from Bonnie and Charley mean residents should be prepared
for the 2004 Atlantic hurricane season.
"It's wake-up time, and it's time for people to do the
preparations they need to do and treat this as an active season,"
Matheson said. "Hurricanes are a beautiful thing, but what makes
them a disaster is that people are not prepared. Now is the time to
prepare. Don't be a part of the disaster."
Those preparations also should include taking note of the
National Hurricane Center's reissuance of its 2004 hurricane
outlook, which calls for 12 to 15 tropical storms, with six to eight
becoming hurricanes and two to four of those becoming major
hurricanes of Category 3 or higher.
The forecast is slightly less than one issued by William Gray, a
Colorado forecaster, who revised his forecast Friday. He predicts 13
tropical storms, seven hurricanes and three major hurricanes.
NHC forecasters and Gray agreed neutral conditions in the Pacific
ocean could thwart major hurricane development. Matheson warned such
conditions don't mean a major storm can't form. Hurricanes Hugo,
Andrew and Fran all formed and made landfall during seasons with
similar conditions.
"The Pacific Ocean is on the warm side, which can enhance
shearing potential in the upper atmosphere winds, so as storms
develop, the shearing effect tends to limit the major hurricane
development," he said. "It's nothing to sneeze at, which is what we
have this year, but it means hurricane season is just kicking
off."
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