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JEANNE ON TRACK FOR S.C. COAST: Early forecast calls for landfall on 15th anniversary of Hurricane Hugo

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The remains of a pool located between two condominums destroyed by Hurricane Ivan are seen in Orange Beach, Ala. AP

JEANNE ON TRACK FOR S.C. COAST: Early forecast calls for landfall on 15th anniversary of Hurricane Hugo

By GENE ZALESKI, T&D Staff Writer

Weakening Tropical Storm Ivan and strengthening Jeanne.

Storm headlines had the attention of T&D Region emergency service and utility officials Thursday as all focus was on the twin storms and their potential impact on the region.

With rain from Ivan forecast Thursday and Friday, the greater worry appears to be the latest forecasts for Jeanne, which was upgraded to a hurricane Thursday when winds reached near 80 mph. Winds later dropped to 70 mph. Storms become hurricanes at 74 mph. The storm is expected to return to hurricane strength.

John Smith, Orangeburg County emergency services director, said the forecast track Thursday afternoon had Jeanne off the South Carolina coast around 8 a.m. Tuesday with about 98 mph winds.

The National Hurricane Center's track as of 5 p.m. Thursday had Jeanne making landfall somewhere near Hilton Head-Beaufort in South Carolina at 2 p.m. Tuesday with winds greater than 73 mph. Tuesday marks the 15th anniversary of Hurricane Hugo's arrival in the Palmetto State.

"By Monday, we will have a better idea what we are looking at," Smith said. "We might see some type of impact by midweek next week."

Smith said the threat of another storm on the heels of Ivan is something that has become all too common for this hurricane season. "It has been a relentless season."

After Ivan's direct hit on the Gulf Coast overnight, rain bands from the storm rolled through The T&D Region between 8:30 and 10:30 a.m. Thursday with brief downpours, lightning and rumbles of thunder. Rainfall totals in the hour span reached nearly an inch in the Elloree area, with lesser amounts (less than 0.5 inch) reported in the Orangeburg city limits. "It has made landfall and seems to be staying on the track that will take it up to Alabama, Tennessee and into Kentucky," Smith said. "The concern here in Orangeburg County is a good possibility of heavy rainfall from the storm."

As of Thursday evening, The T&D Region was under a flood watch through 2 a.m. Saturday morning.

The Columbia National Weather Service forecast moisture to spread across the region late Thursday, increasing in intensity Thursday night into Friday.

Forecasts called for rainfall totals of 1 to 3 inches from Thursday night into Friday night.

With soil conditions moist from recent rains, the NWS statement noted that low-lying areas could be prone to minor and occasionally moderate flooding.

Smith encouraged dam owners to check that run-arounds and spillways are clear of any debris.

Forecasts for more rain come on top of a September that has already seen rainfall of 2.66 inches for the month, as reported by the Orangeburg Department of Public Utilities, the official Orangeburg observer for the National Weather Service. Average precipitation for the month of September is 4.18 inches.

The river level for the North Fork Edisto River at 4 p.m. Thursday was 156 feet. Flood stage is 158 feet. There are no concerns by DPU officials that the river would reach flood stage.

DPU Manager Fred Boatwright said crews are keeping an eye on the storm throughout the day Thursday.

"I don't think Ivan is going to present very much of a problem for us except for some rain," Boatwright said.

In addition to concerns of flooding rains, the tornado threat was raised.

A tornado watch was issued for The T&D Region shortly after noon on Thursday. The watch was through Thursday at 9 p.m. A tornado watch means conditions are favorable for tornadic activity.

Smith said the OCES would post and notify the public of any severe weather watches or warnings. Individuals were encouraged to stay alert to the changing weather conditions.

Thursday afternoon saw Hurricane Ivan weaken to a tropical storm over Alabama and head north into Georgia, Tennessee and the North Carolina mountains, where the storm was forecast to stall Friday.

The Appalachian mountains were forecast to receive upwards of 15 inches.

Calhoun County Emergency Services officials kept a close watch on the track of Ivan and the Weather Service radar imagery throughout the day.

Calhoun County did receive some brief heavy rains Thursday morning as the same band of showers that rolled through Orangeburg County hit the region. No significant problems were reported.

In Bamberg County, Emergency Services Director Sharon Hammond reiterated that the biggest concern is flooding, particularly if Jeanne follows in Ivan's wake.

"It looks like if it comes toward Charleston that we are on the left side," Hammond said. "We will get rain and flooding, but it depends on how much flooding we get from Ivan. We have to be on our P's and Q's for Jeanne. There might be a continuous flow of rain."

-- T&D Staff Writer Gene Zaleski can be reached by e-mail at gzaleski@timesanddemocrat.com or by phone at 803-533-5551.

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