Emergency officials
told conditions ripe for another busy season
BRUCE
SMITH Associated
Press
HILTON HEAD ISLAND, S.C. - After weathering the busiest
hurricane season in recent memory in 2004, South Carolina emergency
officials were warned Monday that conditions are ripe for another
busy season this year.
Warm sea surface temperatures in the Atlantic Ocean and a weak El
Nino provide the ingredients for another active year, said Stacy
Stewart, a hurricane specialist with the National Hurricane
Center.
Does that mean four hurricanes will smash into Florida as they
did last year?
"Probably not. That was an extreme anomaly," Stewart told about
500 emergency officials and others gathered for the
Hurricane/Emergency Management Workshop sponsored by the South
Carolina Emergency Management Division.
But, he warned, "it would not be out of the question to see more
and more intense hurricanes over the next 20 years."
Last year, during the height of the hurricane season, sea surface
temperatures in the area of the Atlantic where hurricanes grow were
about 0.5 to 0.75 degrees Celsius above average. Last month, they
were already 1 degree above average, he said.
"We're already warmer now during the spring than we were during
the last hurricane season," Stewart said. "That's the fuel that
hurricanes feed off."
During El Nino years, upper atmosphere winds discourage the
strengthening of hurricanes in the Atlantic. But this year there is
expected to be a weak El Nino.
"You basically have the same conditions as last year," Stewart
said, noting that the Atlantic Basin is experiencing a period of
increased hurricane activity.
The new hurricane season begins June 1 and continues through the
end of November.
Last season saw 15 named tropical systems including nine
hurricanes and six major hurricanes. The storms caused an estimated
$45 billion in damage, the costliest hurricane season on record in
the United States.
"As bad as it was, it was not catastrophic for Florida," said
Craig Fugate, the director of the Florida Division of Emergency
Management. "I do not want to diminish what happened to the
victims."
But, he added, "none of our large population centers took direct
hits. If you want to put it in perspective, this is not as bad as it
gets."
Last year was one of the busiest hurricane seasons in memory in
South Carolina.
Relentless storms battered the state's beaches, chased tourists
from the coast and caused at least $146 million in damage and
cleanup costs - more than any season since 1989's Hurricane Hugo,
the storm by which all others are now measured in South
Carolina.
The centers of four tropical systems crossed into South Carolina,
the first time that has happened in a single season since 1893.
Two storms, Hurricanes Charley and Gaston, made landfall within
weeks and within miles of each other in Charleston County. It was
the first time since 1959 two named storms made landfall on the
South Carolina coast during the same season.
The storms left South Carolina's beaches in their worst shape
since Hurricane Hugo, officials with the state Department of Health
and Environmental Control said Monday in the agency's State of the
Beaches report.
The emergency management conference continues through
Wednesday.
Other topics on the agenda include updates on state exercises
dealing with weapons of mass destruction, a seminar on extremists
who carry out terror attacks and a discussion of the inland effects
of
hurricanes. |