HURRICANE
SEASON
Charley, Gaston augur years ahead Experts: Atlantic entering active
period By Bruce
Smith The Associated
Press
CHARLESTON - First Hurricane Charley
crashed ashore near McClellanville last month with its 85-mph winds.
Two weeks later, Tropical Storm Gaston made landfall just a few
miles away with near-hurricane-force winds and torrential rains.
It was the first time in almost half a century that two tropical
systems made landfall on the S.C. coast during the same storm
season, according to an Associated Press analysis of historical
storm tracks dating back 150 years.
But those storms weren't the only brushes with tropical weather
in South Carolina this year.
Although the center of circulation didn't track into the state,
the remnants of Tropical Depression Frances, downgraded from a
hurricane, moved through Georgia and spawned tornadoes and dumped
torrential rains on South Carolina.
Bonnie also soaked the state, while the first storm of the
season, Alex, made a feint toward South Carolina before sliding
across the Outer Banks of North Carolina.
It has been, in short, a stormy season in South Carolina, with a
possible threat from Hurricane Ivan just over the horizon.
"It has been one right after the other right after the other,"
said Joe Farmer, a spokesman for the state Emergency Management
Division. "There have been years where we have had a lot of storms
during the season, but not so close together. We have not had a lot
of time to breathe."
The experts say South Carolinians might expect more of the same
in coming years as the Atlantic basin experiences a period of
increased hurricane activity.
"For the whole eastern United States, the Atlantic basin was
quite active during the first half of the 1900s," said Cary Mock, a
geographer at the University of South Carolina. "An inactive period
followed that to 1990. During that inactive period, you had all that
coastal development."
While residents wonder when the relentless storm season may ease
up, it's not unusual in a historical context.
"It's just been the unusual amount of activity this year that is
making the headlines," said Gerald Mohler, a meteorologist with
AccuWeather. "It has been pretty much the same areas getting
threatened, and that kind of adds to the overall chatter and the
press that these things get."
Charley and Gaston were the first two named storms to make
landfall on the S.C. coast in the same season since 1959, when
Tropical Storm Cindy and Hurricane Gracie came ashore.
Charley was the first hurricane to make landfall in the state
since Hurricane Hugo smashed into the coast north of Charleston with
135-mph winds 15 years ago. Charley had devastated southwestern
Florida before crossing the peninsula and re-emerging in the
Atlantic.
No hurricanes made landfall in South Carolina during the 1990s,
although six tropical systems moved through the state over land
after making landfall in Florida or on the Gulf Coast.
Hurricane Floyd also made landfall in North Carolina in 1999,
causing damage in the northeastern corner of South Carolina.
Past tracks show storms that make landfall in Florida or along
the Gulf Coast and then track into the state over land are far more
frequent. In the past 50 years, the storm tracks show that 21 named
storms came into the state through the back door compared with 10
that struck the coast.
Mock said the 40- to 60-year-cycles of hurricane activity are
tied in part to fluctuations in sea surface temperatures in the
tropics.
"We are confident we are entering a more active cycle," he said.
"We can expect more years like this, in an overall sense, during the
next 40 years or
so." |