Meandering Jeanne
might visit S.C. soon
By JOEY
HOLLEMAN Staff
Writer
You know that hurricane kit you put together for Charley or
Frances or Ivan? Don’t drink the bottled water or put those
batteries in the kids’ hand-held games yet.
Jeanne could come visiting early next week.
Breezes and rain associated with Hurricane Jeanne are forecast to
begin affecting the state’s coast Sunday, according to the National
Weather Service.
Jeanne is expected to grow into a minimal Category 2 hurricane
with sustained winds around 100 mph today.
The good news is the National Hurricane Center doesn’t think it
will grow much stronger. The bad news is several of the computer
forecast models have the storm making landfall along the South
Carolina coast late Monday or early Tuesday.
That’s five days out, and the margin of error is huge, from the
Chesapeake Bay to Miami. The path depends in large part on a
high-pressure ridge that’s over South Carolina now, according to the
National Hurricane Center. The best-case scenario is for the ridge
to move farther east than expected on Monday and Tuesday, prompting
Jeanne to stay over the Atlantic.
Jeanne has perplexed the computers so far. A week ago, the
five-day forecast had Jeanne making landfall Sept. 21 near Savannah.
Then it turned a loop east of the Bahamas as the remnants of
Hurricane Ivan slipped back down into Florida.
Now Jeanne appears to be heading toward the Southeast coast
again.
Even if Jeanne misses the United States, it will go down as one
of the most deadly storms in recent years. The tropical system
flooded the city of Gonaives in Haiti, killing an estimated 700
people.
In South Carolina, Jeanne is just the latest in the busiest
hurricane season in recorded South Carolina history. A list of
storms that have impacted South Carolina since 1870, compiled by the
state climate office, includes several years in which three storms
impacted the state.
But never before have four storms bedeviled the state in one
year. The 2004 season is at five and counting after Bonnie, Charley,
Gaston, Frances and
Ivan. |