MOST ECONOMISTS and policy experts agree that there are a few
basics to designing a good tax system. While we might disagree on
precisely how our favored system measures up, most people would
probably agree on these basics. An ideal system is built around:
• Adequacy. It brings in enough
money to pay for whatever size of government the public desires.
Stability and growth are both factors in this.
• Equity, or fairness. It is
generally based on ability to pay.
• Efficiency, which to economists
refers to its effect on actions. Either it encourages positive
activity (home ownership, investment) or else it has no effect, good
or bad.
• Low compliance cost. It doesn’t
cost the state a lot to administer and collect, and it’s easy for
the public to comply with.
“These often point in different directions, so there is a
significant role for judgment regarding the best system,” William
Fox, director of the University of Tennessee’s Center for Business
and Economic Research and a leading national expert on state tax
policy, told the state’s joint tax study committee this summer.
Most economists consider diversity, or balance, the key to
dealing with that challenge.
As Holley Hewitt Ulbrich and Ada Louise Steirer write in “Paying
for Government in South Carolina — A Citizen’s Guide”: “When we look
at various taxes, no tax fits all criteria of a perfect tax.... The
positives of one tax, then, will need to balance the negatives of
another to create a good revenue system.”
Dr. Fox suggests thinking of a tax system like a retirement
portfolio. A smart investor wants a mix of volatile and stable
securities, of growth and income stocks, of stocks and bonds.
In trying to achieve the perfect balance, economists suggest such
obvious strategies as including taxes on income, spending and wealth
(property taxes). They say individual taxes should cover as many
people as possible at the lowest possible rate. And many argue that,
to the extent possible, a tax system should rely on taxes the public
prefers to pay.
• How S.C. rates (This
article contains several news items)
In South Carolina, about 70 percent of the money we collect to
run state and local government comes from the property tax, the
sales tax and the income tax. Most economists like this mix, because
these Big Three taxes tend to balance each other.
The property tax is extremely stable; it brings in a predictable
amount of money even when the economy lags. But it doesn’t grow very
fast, it has a high compliance cost, and it scores low on
efficiency, because it can push businesses away from some areas.
The sales tax has a low compliance cost and is usually considered
a high-growth tax, but it’s regressive. That’s particularly true in
South Carolina, because we tax food, which eats up a large share of
the income of poor people, and we don’t tax most services, which
tend to eat up a larger share of the income of wealthier people.
Many consider the income tax fair, and it grows well in a strong
economy. But it doesn’t do well when the economy tanks, and the
compliance cost can be high.
The state uses higher taxes on the sales of such things as
gasoline, cigarettes, alcohol and hotel rooms, along with fees, to
further balance the system or, as Dr. Ulbrich and Ms. Steirer write,
to “offset some of the weaknesses of the income, sales and property
taxes.” Taxes aimed at tourists can make sure they help pay for
government services they use, for example, while gasoline taxes can
make sure those who use the roads the most pay a larger share of
building and maintaining them.
Dr. Fox likes our low sales tax rate. He also likes that we rely
less heavily than most states on taxes on corporate income, which he
believes discourage job growth.
But he gives us low marks for a high individual income tax rate
and for relying on the sales tax more heavily than most states. He
believes that’s one reason our income isn’t growing well with the
economy: Economists consider the sales tax one of the biggest
problems for the future, because as more consumer spending goes to
services rather than sales, and as people make more Internet
purchases, it taps a smaller percentage of total spending.
You can jiggle each tax to improve the mix. The state has made
the homeowner property tax more progressive by reducing taxes on
houses valued at $100,000 or less. On the other hand, while a
progressive income tax can balance the regressive sales tax, we’ve
made our income tax practically flat, so it doesn’t serve as a
counter-balance.
• Grading Quinn-Sheheen
(This article contains several news items)
My colleagues and I will be looking in greater depth at these
criteria in the coming weeks, as we evaluate the various proposals
for overhauling our tax system. But a useful starting place is to
look at how their plans stack up against the ideal system.
The plan by Reps. Rick Quinn and Vincent Sheheen, because it’s so
complex, gets mixed results:
• Compliance cost. It makes the
tax system simpler and less expensive to administer and comply with,
by trading property taxes for sales taxes. That’s a plus.
• Adequacy. It trades the stable
property tax for the more volatile but faster-growing sales tax. So
it should generate more money over the long term, but the annual
growth would be less predictable, increasing the chance of service
cuts or tax increases. But since the sales tax base is eroding, it
won’t remain adequate without change. Quinn-Sheheen eliminates many
sales tax exemptions, slowing that erosion. The plan may not be
adequate, but that’s unclear.
• Fairness. Like the question of
adequacy, this one is not clear cut.
On the negative side, the sales tax is regressive, and this plan
raises it. Some exemptions it eliminates, such as gasoline and
residential electricity, could make the sales tax more regressive.
It eliminates the automobile property tax, which may be nearly
flat.
But it makes our income tax slightly progressive. It exempts
groceries from the additional 2 percent tax, making that less
regressive. It reduces the most regressive sales tax exemption — the
one on automobile purchases. It also phases out the local sales tax
some counties collect for infrastructure and encourages counties to
eliminate the local option sales tax, reducing reliance on the
regressive sales tax in favor of slightly higher property taxes.
But are property taxes regressive, flat or progressive? For
homeowners, they could be considered progressive thanks to that
$100,000 tax break. But that doesn’t apply to rental property, which
also is taxed at a higher rate. If landlords lower rent when their
property taxes drop, this could make the tax system less regressive;
if they don’t, it won’t.
• Efficiency. The property tax is
very inefficient; i.e., it has a huge effect on spending decisions
by individuals and businesses, and the effect is often negative. The
sales tax also affects spending decisions if it gets too high, but
it’s unclear exactly where “too high” kicks in. The plan probably
scores fairly well on this criterion.
• Political support. It trades a
tax the public hates for one most people prefer to pay. That’s a
plus.
• Balance. This is a huge
negative: It greatly reduces our reliance on the property tax and
greatly increases our reliance on the sales tax, thus taking us from
a fairly balanced system to one in which our state sinks or swims on
the basis of consumer spending.
• The other plans (This
article contains several news items)
The plan by a group of school finance officers mirrors
Quinn-Sheheen on revenue raising but merely reduces, rather than
eliminating, property taxes. That means it doesn’t change compliance
costs. It scores well on adequacy and doesn’t do as badly on
balance. It improves efficiency and might generate public support,
although not as much on either measure. It is about as fair as
Quinn-Sheheen.
Sen. David Thomas’ plan to increase the sales tax and eliminate
all homeowner property taxes scores well on compliance costs, public
support and efficiency. But it doesn’t do well on adequacy, balance
or fairness.
Gov. Mark Sanford wants to reduce income tax rates and raise
taxes on cigarettes and lottery tickets. That gets high marks for
efficiency, because lower income tax rates could encourage economic
development, while higher cigarette taxes should reduce smoking.
Fairness is more subjective: Although trading a flat income tax for
regressive taxes would usually be unfair, cigarettes and lottery
tickets are discretionary items, so people can avoid higher taxes if
they want to.
House Ways and Means Chairman Bobby Harrell’s plan to increase
the sales tax to 6 percent on everything except food and hotels,
eliminate a few small tax exemptions and do away with automobile
property taxes would do a great deal to increase public support of
the tax system, since people hate the car tax and like the sales
tax.
Overall, though, both Mr. Harrell and, to a greater degree, Mr.
Sanford are so limited in their changes to the current tax code that
they would do little to improve, or harm, our tax system.
And that has been the problem with all of the tax plans lawmakers
have considered, and passed, in recent decades: They have been
targeted to achieve this goal or that, with little regard for how
they affect the overall tax system. While any one change has little
effect, the accumulation of tax change upon tax change creates a
system that is far from the ideal, sometimes in ways we don’t even
realize until we examine the alternatives.
Ms. Scoppe can be reached at cscoppe@thestate.com or at
(803)
771-8571.