U.S. SENATE RACE
WRAPUP
DeMint's win shows solid GOP
backing Now, is Tenenbaum hinting at
running for governor in 2 years? HENRY EICHEL Columbia Bureau
COLUMBIA - Inez Tenenbaum says that
getting 44 percent of the vote for U.S. Senate last week has made
her "a viable candidate for other races."
In all probability that means Tenenbaum, the Democratic state
superintendent of education, is thinking of running for S.C.
governor two years from now against incumbent Republican Mark
Sanford, political observers say.
"She now has strong name recognition and an identity as an
articulate spokesman to run against Sanford," said David Woodard, a
Clemson University political science professor and Republican
activist. "She's set herself up real well to run for governor."
But for Tenenbaum -- or any other Democrat -- to win, she would
need the same kind of help from Sanford that then-Gov. David Beasley
gave to Jim Hodges in 1998, said former state Democratic Party
chairman Dick Harpootlian.
"I don't know how you cobble together a Democratic majority
without a very unpopular Republican candidate," Harpootlian
said.
After four years in office, Beasley was so unpopular that one out
of five Republicans voted for Hodges, the Democrat.
Since then, however, the GOP has extended its domination of S.C.
politics to levels not seen since post-Civil War Reconstruction.
Sanford turned Hodges out of the governor's mansion in 2002,
Republicans won majorities in both legislative chambers, and now,
both of South Carolina's U.S. senators are Republican.
This year, in the only statewide race on the ballot besides
president, U.S. Rep. Jim DeMint of Greenville defeated Tenenbaum for
the Senate seat being vacated by longtime Democratic incumbent
Ernest "Fritz" Hollings.
Tenenbaum, who had been the top vote-getter in the 1998 and 2002
state elections, was generally considered to be Democrats' best hope
to hang on to the seat, by virtue of her popularity and her moderate
political stands.
The national Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee and
independent Democratic-leaning groups spent more than $5 million on
television advertising for her.
Although some polls had showed a tight race, DeMint's 10-point
margin of victory was pretty much what S.C. Republicans have gotten
used to enjoying.
"She tried to run as a Democrat and, at the same time say she
didn't buy into the national Democratic positions on a lot of
issues," Harpootlian said. "Fritz Hollings could say it because he
had a history of doing it. But you can't come fresh on the scene and
say it."
As the returns came in Tuesday night, the several hundred GOP
faithful who partied in the Adams Mark Hotel ballroom in downtown
Columbia seemed rather blasé for an election night crowd.
"We used to get so excited; we couldn't believe we'd won," said
Gay Suber, the S.C. Republican Party's executive director during its
formative years, 1968 to 1976. "Now, it's more just a feeling of
satisfaction. We kind of expect to win."
At the heart of the Republican success in South Carolina is the
state's bedrock conservatism.
As an example, Harpootlian pointed to opinions that DeMint
expressed during the campaign that homosexuals shouldn't be teaching
in public schools.
"There was a calculation by the rest of the country that the
statement somehow would hurt him," Harpootlian said. "The fact that
not only did it not hurt him, but probably helped him, speaks
volumes about the average voter in South Carolina."
President Bush carried the state on Tuesday by a 58 percent to 41
percent margin over Democrat John Kerry.
The residual Republican strength in the state made Tenenbaum an
underdog from the start. But her TV advertising barrage, which
zeroed in on a national sales tax bill that DeMint had co-sponsored
in Congress, brought her almost even with him by early October.
DeMint fought her off by using a two-pronged strategy of
attacking her and identifying with President Bush.
"We had let her get away for a long time with saying that she was
an independent and a moderate," said DeMint's campaign manager,
Terry Sullivan. "But then we held her accountable, and said, `The
first vote you make in the Senate is going to be either for a person
who is going to block judges the president nominates, or for someone
who is going to help them along.' "
That was a clear signal to mobilize conservative evangelical
Christians, said Danielle Vinson, a political science professor at
Furman University in Greenville. "They're very savvy about social
issues, and they certainly understand the role of the courts," she
said.
Vinson said that despite Tenenbaum's loss, this year wasn't
really a true test of whether the Democrats can remain competitive
within the state.
S.C. state officials are elected in nonpresidential years. "That
makes it a little easier for a Democrat," Vinson said. "You can have
the campaign just be about your ideas and your opponent's ideas. It
doesn't have to include national issues."
On Wednesday, one day following her defeat, Tenenbaum said, "I
think this race has made me a viable candidate for other races."
Vinson agreed.
"She's shown she can raise money, she has been able to talk about
some issues other than education, and voters know her better now,"
Vinson said. "This was not one of those losses that you lose and
your career in politics is over. She was the underdog, it's a
Republican state, and she got over 40 percent of the vote. She's
credible." |