Trailing Tenenbaum
shifts into high gear Leaders say she
needs to beef up DeMint attacks HENRY EICHEL Columbia Bureau
COLUMBIA - Democratic U.S. Senate
candidate Inez Tenenbaum is trying to jump-start her campaign, which
leading S.C. Democrats concede has so far produced disappointing
results.
With polls commissioned by the party showing her trailing her
Republican opponent, U.S. Rep. Jim DeMint, by about 10 points,
Tenenbaum replaced her media consultant just before Labor Day and
has launched herself into a grueling schedule of personal
appearances.
"I think she's been struggling to gain momentum and to define her
campaign," said former S.C. Democratic chairman Dick
Harpootlian.
Tenenbaum and DeMint are competing for the seat being vacated by
retiring Democratic incumbent Sen. Ernest "Fritz" Hollings.
The present state Democratic chairman, Joe Erwin, said the
Tenenbaum campaign is concentrating on "getting her out all over the
state to meet more people and let them get to know this woman."
Erwin said: "She's got to create likability. That's not hard for
her to do, because she is eminently likeable. But she's got to get
more people to be aware of it, and frankly, her early ads didn't do
a good enough job of that."
The two Democratic chairmen said Tenenbaum, who is in the middle
of her second term as South Carolina's elected state superintendent
of education, also must do a better job of attacking DeMint.
Contrary to expectations, the low-key conservative congressman from
Greenville has emerged as the high-energy candidate of change, while
Tenenbaum has found herself defending the status quo on issues such
as S.C.'s traditional textile manufacturing base and the federal
income tax.
"She has got to show that Jim DeMint is the wrong guy to
represent South Carolina in the U.S. Senate, because he's wrong on
the issues that affect most South Carolinians," Erwin said.
Although S.C. members of Congress have traditionally supported
the textile industry's efforts to fend off foreign competition,
DeMint supports President Bush's free trade policies and says South
Carolina's economic future depends on globalization and selling
overseas.
Tenenbaum early on made a promise to protect S.C. jobs a
centerpiece of her campaign. With textile mills and sewing factories
in the state having shed nearly 21,000 jobs since January 2001,
Democratic strategists said she saw the issue as a way to split some
blue-collar voters in the manufacturing-heavy Upstate from their
Republican voting habit.
TV ads being run on Tenenbaum's behalf by the Democratic
Senatorial Campaign Committee say DeMint has "forgotten real people
who work for a living."
Tenenbaum, meanwhile, is concentrating on attacking an idea by
DeMint to abolish the federal income tax and replace it with a
national sales tax.
DeMint has made himself a favorite in national conservative
circles by championing such controversial proposals for shrinking
government, many of them originating in think tanks like the
Heritage Foundation.
Tenenbaum's newest television commercial says that while she
wants to cut taxes for the middle class, "it's Jim DeMint who has a
plan for a new 23 percent sales tax. An extra 23 cents for every
dollar you spend on almost everything you buy."
Harpootlian says he doesn't think Tenenbaum's ads are getting the
job done. "I don't think they're hard enough," he said. "I don't
think they're graphic enough."
He said, "All this positive (stuff), platforms, positions, don't
matter. You've got to drive the other guy into the ditch."
He said a major reason Tenenbaum's campaign is struggling today,
he said, was an ad sponsored by a shadowy independent group with
ties to the insurance and health care industries. The ad said
Tenenbaum had called for a $2 billion tax increase.
Tenenbaum did ask S.C. lawmakers to provide more money for public
schools by either eliminating some sales tax exemptions or by
passing a 2-cent increase in the sales, cigarette, gasoline or
beer/wine tax. But the ad's $2 billion figure was bogus because it
added all the increases together.
But no matter what kind of ads she runs or which strategy she
adopts, most political observers say Tenenbaum's greatest problems
stem from things beyond her control, not the least of which is that
South Carolina is one of the nation's most heavily Republican
states.
Although there is no official voter registration by party,
Democratic polls show that among white voters, Republicans outnumber
Democrats by more than 2-1. Black voters are solidly Democratic, but
make up only about 25 percent of the electorate.
A Democrat hoping to win a statewide election must get at least
70 percent of the independent vote, which is virtually all white.
But most of those voters are people who generally lean Republican,
said Earl Black, a political science professor at Rice University in
Houston, who is an authority on Southern politics.
"It's probably compounded this year by presidential politics,"
Black said. "I can't imagine that John Kerry is an asset for her --
a kind of classic Massachusetts liberal with no real feel for the
South. That presents too many opportunities for the Republicans to
tie her to that part of the Democratic Party."
Tenenbaum has tried to inoculate herself against such attacks by
taking positions opposite to those of most liberals on several
social issues. She supports the death penalty, agrees with President
Bush's decision to invade Iraq and supports bans on gay marriage and
on the procedure known as "partial birth abortion."
So far, it hasn't seemed to work. DeMint's polling shows him
leading 50 percent to 37 percent, a margin that Democratic chairman
Erwin said is fairly close to that of Democratic polling. Tenenbaum
even trails Kerry, who has slightly over 40 percent in Democratic
polls.
Tenenbaum's campaign slogan, "an independent voice for the people
of South Carolina," drew a laugh from professor Black.
"When an ideology needs to be disguised, it is a sign of real
weakness," he said. "She's fighting larger trends than herself." |