Posted on Thu, Sep. 08, 2005


Ophelia defies accurate forecast
Slow-moving storm unlikely to hit S.C.

Staff Writer

Hurricane forecasters, even the powerful computers, are baffled by Tropical Storm Ophelia.

They expect it to meander off north Florida for as long as five days before taking off in some direction.

None of the five major computer models used by forecasters shows the storm making landfall in South Carolina. But the National Hurricane Center notes the difficulty in forecasting storms like Ophelia that don’t have strong steering currents around them.

Just to be safe, the S.C. Emergency Management Division moved to Operation Condition 4 on Wednesday.

Basically, that means emergency officials are watching the storm closely and making sure all of the various state and local agencies are ready to hop into action. That also should signal the public along the coast to check on their hurricane supplies, emergency officials said.

“The storm could bring heavy rain, damaging winds, tornadoes and localized flooding to South Carolina,” warned a release from the state emergency agency.

Officially, Ophelia is expected to move less than 100 miles in the next five days, leaving it off Jacksonville, Fla., by Monday. The National Hurricane Center forecasts that the system will grow to a hurricane by then.





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