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Home » News » Shannon's Law

DECEMBER 29, 2004
SHANNON'S LAW: Ch-ch-ch-changes
Political shakeouts in 2004 suggest it's time to turn and face the change.

BY JAMES SHANNON



Sen. Ernest "Fritz" Hollings
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In case you missed it, 2004 was an election year. Although it can be argued that voters sent mixed messages to state and local officials in South Carolina, the trend suggests that at least some changes are on the not-too-distant horizon.

In Columbia, this could be the year when Gov. Mark Sanford finally passes the first major legislation of his administration after essentially striking out in the two sessions of the General Assembly since he took office.

Sanford went to bat for SC Senate candidates who would be more supportive of his initiatives, with mixed results. In Spartanburg, Lee Bright mounted a primary challenge to incumbent Sen. John Hawkins that highlighted policy differences between Hawkins and Sanford. When Bright lost by the narrowest of margins, Hawkins pronounced himself a changed man, saying he believes voters were telling him to support the governor.

Former Sanford staffer Chip Campsen then unseated Sen. John Kuhn, a GOP lawmaker from Sanford's backyard who had not been a big fan. But Democrat Joel Lourie soundly defeated Sanford ally Ken Wingate for a vacant Senate seat in Columbia, a race that could be seen as something of a referendum on Sanford due to Wingate's prominent role as chair of the MAC commission formed to support the governor's cost-cutting mandate.

Personal help from Gov. Sanford was not enough to unseat Sen. Glenn Reese of Boiling Springs, who trounced Spartanburg County Council member Steve Parker in a district that otherwise voted Republican. Sen. Phil Leventis, seen as perhaps the foremost Sanford antagonist in the Senate, won a narrow victory over Dickie Jones. That race was marred by charges from the Jones camp that Leventis did not support the military, despite the fact he is a National Guard fighter pilot decorated for combat heroics in Operation Desert Storm. Leventis led the charge to thwart Jon Ozmint's scheme to privatize prison health care, and aroused Sanford's ire by pushing for increased funding for the University of South Carolina campus at Sumter using a legislative maneuver known as bobtailing. Despite that antipathy, Leventis will be back in his Senate seat when the General Assembly convenes next month, much to the chagrin of the governor's men who tried to defeat him.

Even though the GOP holds a 26 to 20 majority in the Senate, Sanford was unable to push his agenda through in the last two sessions, and there seems to be evidence that 2005 promises more of the same frustration. But some observers beg to differ.

Andy Brack, whose South Carolina Statehouse Report is a widely-read political intelligence newsletter, says the results of the aforementioned contests are not necessarily indicative of Sanford weakness. "Most of those Senate races were in districts relatively friendly to Democrats," says Brack. "Reese has been around for a while, and does a good job on constituent services, and Joel Lourie was already well-known in Columbia. He was in the House, and his father had been in the Senate,"

Brack also points to Lee Bandy's column last Sunday in The State newspaper citing the lack of a viable Democrat to oppose Sanford, who has already built a $3 million war chest for 2006. Legislators who believe they will have to live with Sanford for another six years might be more inclined to give him what he wants in the next session. This could be especially true of members of the Senate who will not face the voters again themselves until 2008.

"It's not that the issues are with him, because he's done a lot of bad things," says Brack of Sanford. "But people like him." Indeed, Sanford's poll numbers have remained quite high despite the lack of any tangible record of achievement. That may be enough to push his controversial voucher program over the top this year, although observers expect a pitched battle over that plan to give tax credits to parents who home-school their children or send them to private schools.

The Greenville County delegation to the General Assembly remains largely intact, but changes on the county level promise a new day in 2005. Incoming council members Jim Burns, Butch Kirven, and Tony Trout are all Republicans who unseated GOP incumbents in 2004, although in Trout's case, it took two bitter runoffs before he dispatched Steve Selby. Lame ducks Selby, Dozier Brooks and Phyllis Henderson attempted some last-minute maneuvers that have the new council playing catch-up to try to minimize the damage. Expect the Mauldin baseball proposal to be revisited, and a majority of the new council are on the record favoring a paid Martin Luther King holiday in Greenville County. It would not be a total surprise to see the council enact tougher ethics disclosure rules to bring a little sunshine into private dealings between elected officials and companies that do business with the county.

Finally, Sen. Ernest "Fritz" Hollings will leave the US Senate after a long career that brought tremendous credit to the people of South Carolina. Even more than his long-time colleague Strom Thurmond, Hollings was a shining example of what enlightened leadership can be in this modern age. Although he grew old in office, he never lost the intellectual curiosity that fueled the inner passion that informed his every action. He will be missed by working families, environmentalists, common-sense conservatives and those who believe government can be a force for good.

The race to replace Hollings proved how far Democrats have to go to become a force in South Carolina politics. When flawed GOP candidate Jim DeMint can run so strong in spite of his many gaffes, it may be time to reconsider whether posing as Republican-lite is really the best way to go.



MORE BY JAMES SHANNON

INAUGURATION BLUES
[January 19, 2005]

SHANNON'S LAW: Dissent and Dissonance
[January 19, 2005]

Old Times There Are Not Forgotten
[January 12, 2005]

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