Whatever happens in the General
Assembly from January to June next year, one thing is for certain:
It will be a defining session for state lawmakers.
Sanford: Gov. Mark Sanford needs some legislative victories in
his third year as governor. So far, he's not won much. If he can
persuade legislators to go along with his controversial income tax
reduction plan or school voucher proposal, he'll have some meat on
which to run for re-election in 2006.
GOP leaders: Not only has Republican Sanford had a hard time
with a General Assembly run by his own party, but Republican leaders
also have had a hard time playing together. If the House and Senate
don't work out differences in moving through major legislation,
there will be serious questions about whether the GOP can
effectively govern even though the party can win elections.
State Senate: In the opening week of the session, Senate
Republicans may push through rules to limit filibusters, which will
make it easier and quicker to push legislation through the chamber.
If this is accomplished -- and is the only thing done in 2005 -- the
legislative process will become remarkably different. Instead of the
Senate being a safety valve to stop bad legislation, bills that
otherwise might be derailed may pass and cause damage to the
powerless.
Democrats: Just as Sanford needs some wins, Democratic lawmakers
need cohesion. If Democrats in the House and Senate don't pull
together to become an effective minority party, their fortunes may
continue to wither.
This month, lawmakers have prefiled scores of bills so that
they'll have some work to do when the session starts in January. So
far, most of the bills are a continuation of unfinished business
from past years. Here is a short list of major issues to be
considered by legislators in 2005:
Income tax reduction: The governor is calling to reduce income
tax rates slowly as the state grows, although the complicated plan
hasn't picked up much steam.
School vouchers: The "Put Parents In Charge" proposal would
allow tax credits for parents who have their children in private
schools or home schools. The measure is getting a big push from the
governor and interests from outside the state, but word is some GOP
lawmakers are on the fence about its impact on public education.
Restructuring: There are more than a dozen proposals to make
some elected officials, such as adjutant general and state
superintendent, become appointed officials. Other proposals would
change the structure of government agencies to achieve efficiencies
and make government more effective. Of the three major measures
pushed by Sanford, restructuring might be easiest.
Tort reform: New rules on medical malpractice lawsuits and trial
venues may be just around the corner. Lawmakers almost reached a
decision last year. This year, the pump may be primed for reform of
the civil justice system.
Tax code: While income tax reform may be ahead, lawmakers likely
will revisit the whole tax code, including a proposal to cap
property taxes that passed earlier in the year but was recently
vetoed by Sanford.
Minibottles: Voters said they wanted minibottles retired. Now
lawmakers have to pass enabling legislation to make it happen.
Hog farms: A controversial measure to allow local governments to
regulate things like hog farms more strictly than the state will
again make headlines.
Wetlands: Look for another round of battles on isolated wetlands
rules that pit business, development and Realtors against
conservationists.
Business development: A new issue that moves to the forefront is
an effort by GOP leaders to do more to give incentives to small
businesses to grow jobs.
The 2005 legislative session will be a year of "ifs." If the GOP
gets its act together, the way the state operates and people fund
government could change remarkably. If they don't, Democrats may get
an opening to campaign on Republican effectiveness.