With the first votes of the 2004 presidential race to be cast in
less than a year, U.S. Sen. Bob Graham, of Florida, finds himself
playing catch-up in South Carolina.
He is months behind his Democratic competitors, who have been
busy raising money, assembling staffs, picking up endorsements and
campaigning across the state.
Graham got started late because he underwent major heart surgery
in January.
In a recent visit to the state, the senator pronounced himself
fit.
"I'm in better shape today than I was six months ago," he said in
an interview.
Graham, at 66, is the oldest of the Democrats pursuing the
nomination.
The senator faces a daunting schedule in trying to make up for
lost time. He must introduce himself to voters in key states if he
hopes to compete in the early contests in Iowa, New Hampshire and
South Carolina.
He first visited South Carolina on May 2 to participate in a
nationally televised debate.
He returned a week and a half ago to meet with former Govs. Jim
Hodges and Dick Riley and African-American leaders. He left without
any endorsements.
Blacks are expected to make up a majority of voters in South
Carolina's Democratic presidential primary Feb. 3. That fact is not
lost on Graham. He spent a good deal of his time in the state
talking with black community leaders and touring Allen University in
Columbia.
He intends to wage an aggressive campaign here.
"The South Carolina primary is very important," Graham said,
because it is the first with a sizable black vote. It's also the
first in the South.
"South Carolina is more of an open race," he said.
Asked whether he had to win South Carolina, Graham replied, "We
have to beat expectations. And that will be clearer in January," he
said.
Experts say the Floridian has to win, place or show in the first
two contests in Iowa and New Hampshire if he hopes to come into
South Carolina with any momentum.
Polls in those states show him trailing far behind, in single
digits.
"We're going to run a strong campaign here," Graham promised.
Although he started organizing late here, he doesn't seem to have
lost much ground with voters. The public hasn't really focused on
the race. Voters have been preoccupied with the war in Iraq and
other more pressing matters.
A recent poll in South Carolina showed 47 percent of the voters
undecided.
"We're looking for that 47 percent," Graham said.
The senator likes his chances.
Graham, who served eight years as Florida governor before being
elected to the Senate 16 years ago, casts himself as the Democrats'
most experienced and electable presidential candidate. He's a bona
fide Southerner, and he considers himself an expert on homeland
security and terrorism. Graham is the ranking Democrat on the Senate
Intelligence Committee.
Graham hopes history is on his side. No Democrat from the North
has won the White House since 1960. The only victors have been
Southern governors -- Jimmy Carter, of Georgia, in 1976 and Bill
Clinton, of Arkansas, in 1992 and 1996.
Florida will likely be a battleground again in November 2004. Its
29 electoral votes determined the election last time after an
agonizing court fight.
Democrats can win the White House in 2004, Graham says, with a
candidate like him, "moderate and pragmatic."
Graham's candidacy can't be dismissed. His competitors who've
spent a lot more time here than he has haven't budged in the polls.
They seem to be running in place.
Don't write Graham off yet. Despite his late start, he could be a
sleeper in the
race.