COLUMBIA-A new projection showing state revenues should grow could be a gift
for legislators and Gov. Mark Sanford
The state Board of Economic Advisors said Thursday that state revenues should
increase by $466.9 million in the 2007 budget year, which begins next July.
Because legislators used one-time sources of money in the fiscal 2006
spending plan, only about $310 million of the new revenue isn't already
accounted for in the next budget year.
The board also raised its revenue estimate for the current, 2006 fiscal year
by more than $240 million. If the estimate holds true, the extra money will go
into the fiscal 2007 budget.
A surge in income and sales tax collections between July and October is
responsible for the revenue growth.
Individual income tax collections soared 9.5 percent, bringing in $100.1
million more than earlier estimates. Sales tax collections were up 7.4 percent,
or $22.4 million more than expected.
After years of struggling to balance the state budget after the 2001
recession, John Rainey, the economic board's chairman, had five words that cut
to the bottom line: "Happy days are here again."
The confidence and brighter outlook come despite unemployment and other
economic reports that show South Carolina with one of the nation's highest
jobless rates and incomes that lag behind most of the nation.
Rainey and others say that data doesn't reflect what's really going on in the
state's economy.
"We believe that the economy of South Carolina is sound," Rainey said.
It's timely and good news for Sanford.
Democrats have been thrashing the Republican governor on the economic
numbers. Thursday's estimates "show once again that we're gaining strength with
respect to our economy," Sanford said in a prepared statement.
House Ways and Means Committee Chairman Dan Cooper says there may not be much
extra money when rising costs are considered.
For instance, about $109 million is needed to cover higher Medicaid expenses
for the elderly, poor and disabled and more than $80 million is required to keep
pace with a school funding formula, said Cooper, R-Piedmont.
All told, there are about $330 million in demands on the extra money, Cooper
said.
'I don't think we should get overly zealous over it,' Cooper said.