THE STATE HOUSE IS abuzz with talk of a plan to overhaul our tax
system and our school funding system. The details change daily, and
the House leaders backing the plan aren't even sure they will bring
it out, but the idea is being discussed enough behind the scenes
that it's time to bring it into the light of day and analyze its
potential effects on our tax system.
The basic proposal is this: Increase the sales tax to 7 percent
and eliminate many sales tax exemptions; in return, eliminate the
property taxes that pay for school operations, which constitute
nearly half of all property taxes. This would increase education
funding by about $400 million.
Even when the details are finalized, the overall plan will be
neither entirely good nor entirely bad. The proposal could affect
public education both positively (increasing funding and potentially
providing equity, for example) and negatively (stripping counties of
much of their control over the schools). Beyond that, it would have
a dramatic effect on our tax system.
On the positive side, it has the potential to:
• Eliminate the war between senior
citizens (and other property owners) and the schools.
• Eliminate the 1995 property tax
rollback, and all its problems, which likely will not otherwise
occur.
• Eliminate the problem of high
car property taxes.
• Eliminate many sales tax
exemptions, thus broadening the tax base and doing away with bad
policy.
• Give cities and counties more
room to raise property taxes to pay for their needs.
• Spur development in poor, rural
counties, by reducing their extra-high property taxes.
• Reduce the demand on current
residents to subsidize new growth.
• Reduce the tax disparity between
large and small, old and new industry, and between industrial and
non-industrial businesses, by reducing the need for special tax
breaks.
• Move the ratio of state/local
funding more toward the national average.
• Reduce the incentive for people
to not register -- and insure -- their cars.
• Shift a large part of the tax
burden to tourists.
The plan has fewer negatives, but many of them are substantial.
It would:
• Make the tax system less able to
withstand economic changes. We rely about equally on funding from
the sales, property and income taxes. This would change that
three-legged stool to one in which sales taxes make up more than
half the money from the major taxes and property taxes less than 15
percent.
• Make the tax system more
regressive.
• Move the sales tax from 21st to
fourth highest in the nation, and raise the sales tax in some
localities, for some products, as high as 10 percent.
• Give away the deduction property
owners are able to claim on federal income taxes.
Beyond all that, the plan is not comprehensive tax reform, yet it
is so massive that it could slam the door on a thorough rebalancing
of state and local taxes.
None of these points alone is reason to support the plan; none
alone is reason to oppose it. And there are ways to address some
problems; for example, the tax code could be made less regressive by
eliminating the sales tax on food or making the income tax
progressive. What's important is that everyone consider all these
points (and others) and make them -- rather than the politics of the
moment -- the basis for their decision.