More than half a million people fled the S.C. coast as Hurricane
Floyd approached in 1999. Next time, it could be more than twice
that.
Traffic jams are certain. But officials hope to ease the misery
that accompanied Floyd by reversing eastbound interstate lanes and
encouraging coastal residents and visitors to hit the road earlier
when a storm approaches.
"You will never be able to make an easy commute ... with a couple
hundred thousand folks leaving the same time as you do," S.C. Gov.
Mark Sanford said Tuesday in Charleston, as the first hurricane of
the season stormed ashore in Texas.
New plans outlined by Sanford and other officials, however, could
shave a few hours off the total evacuation time, and keep a mass
exodus from becoming the 18-hour traffic jam many people sat through
as Floyd approached.
Among the latest plans:
• U.S. 501 out of Myrtle Beach was
added to the list of roads officials could reverse in an evacuation.
Four lanes would flow away from the coast starting just west of
Conway and lasting through Marion. U.S. 501 would remain two-way
closer to the beach, officials said, because traffic needs to move
in both directions.
• To speed up an evacuation of
Hilton Head and points south of Charleston, both eastbound lanes of
U.S. 278 could be reversed to Interstate 95, if needed, with U.S. 21
also flowing away from the coast. Earlier plans had called for only
partial reversals.
• All lanes of Interstate 26 would
lead away from Charleston, but more exits would remain open under
the revised plans unveiled Tuesday. The old plan, created soon after
Floyd, forced everyone in the reversed lanes to drive all the way to
Columbia.
N.C. officials have similar plans for Interstate 40 from
Wilmington toward Raleigh, which they would reverse in an
evacuation.
"Hopefully we'll never have to use it," said N.C. Highway Patrol
Sgt. Everett Clendenin. "But statistically, we will."
About 530,000 people fled the S.C. coast as Floyd approached,
according to a study conducted for federal emergency planners. They
were among 3.5 million evacuees from Florida to Virginia.
The next evacuation could require moving 1.3 million people from
the S.C. coast in more than 600,000 vehicles, officials said at an
emergency management conference in March.
Since Floyd, South Carolina has added traffic cameras and speed
detectors to help them make decisions about which lanes to
reverse.
Many evacuees complained that officials waited too long and
didn't have effective plans in 1999.
Even reversing lanes won't make the next evacuation speedy. But
officials hope to keep traffic moving and avoid snarls that trap
people in the same spot for hours.
Computer models offer some hope. Traffic should move at about 40
mph on I-26 with the lanes reversed, said S.C. Highway Patrol Lt.
Col. Harry Stubblefield.
But evacuating the coast still is expected to take up to 24
hours. The lane reversals could shave six or seven hours off that in
Myrtle Beach, Stubblefield said, and four hours from Hilton
Head.
"The earlier people leave, the quicker the evacuation will be,"
he said. "They still can't wait until the last minute."
The plans remain to be tested under real-life conditions, but
this year could provide the chance. The National Hurricane Center
predicts a "very active season," with as many as 15 named storms and
up to four major hurricanes with winds of 111 mph or more.
The long-term average is about 10 named storms a year and two
major hurricanes. Favorable winds and warmer ocean waters are among
the factors pointing to a stronger season this year.
On average, two or three hurricanes hit the United States in
similar seasons, the national Climate Prediction Center says.
Most hurricanes that threaten the Carolinas form in August or
September.
The Carolinas haven't had a direct hit from a hurricane since
Floyd flooded much of eastern North Carolina three years ago. In
South Carolina, a hurricane hasn't come ashore since Hugo, which
left a path of destruction from Charleston to Charlotte in 1989.
The Atlantic hurricane season started June 1 and lasts through
Nov. 30. -- THE ASSOCIATED PRESS CONTRIBUTED TO THIS
REPORT.
-- SCOTT DODD: (704) 358-5168; SDODD@CHARLOTTEOBSERVER.COM.