Election night puts
Democrats in corner, sends GOP hunting
JIM
DAVENPORT Associated
Press
COLUMBIA, S.C. - Democrats now find themselves
shoved into a smaller corner of South Carolina politics.
A 10-point loss in the U.S. Senate race Tuesday shows Democrats
have a tough path ahead of them in raising money and winning
elections in 2006 and keeping the two statewide offices they
have.
Republicans won top-of-the ballot races handily in South
Carolina, easily turning out voters for President Bush and sending
Jim DeMint to Washington instead of Democrat Inez Tenenbaum in their
bid to replace retiring U.S. Sen. Ernest "Fritz" Hollings.
Democrats picked up a state House seat and appeared to have
picked up a Senate seat, but the party needs more, state Democratic
Party Chairman Joe Erwin said.
"The big prizes are just what they are: big prizes. We need to
win them," Erwin said. "You don't rebuild something that took 30
years to swing to this point in a year and half."
For their part, Republicans already are turning their attention
to grabbing the remaining two statewide offices and also plan to
shoot lower on the political tree.
"We're going to start focusing at the state party level on the
county councils and city councils," state GOP Chairman Katon Dawson
said. In the 1970s and 1980s, those political nurseries nurtured
Republican candidates before they began winning higher offices.
Until this year, "we haven't had the resources" to emphasize them,
Dawson said.
Down-ticket is about the only place the GOP has to turn to after
Tuesday's results.
In the 2006 statewide elections, Tenenbaum likely will find
herself more of a Republican target. Meanwhile, Democrat Grady
Patterson, 80, might not seek another term as state treasurer. With
Hollings' retirement, those are the only statewide offices Democrats
hold.
Erwin says both would fare well in re-election bids.
Republicans also could turn more attention to the U.S. House seat
Democrat John Spratt holds. Spratt won Tuesday with 63 percent of
the vote to his GOP challenger's 37 percent. In 2002, Spratt faced
no GOP election opponent.
But Spratt and his Democratic colleague, Jim Clyburn, likely are
safe in their districts as long as they want to keep their seats,
College of Charleston political science professor Bill Moore said.
Years of redistricting have made U.S. House and Statehouse seats
safe for political parties to keep. Incumbents' greatest challenges
come in party primaries, not general elections, he said.
One thing's clear, the Democratic Party needs to put its
political train back on track to win big.
"I don't think it can," Jim Guth, a Furman University political
science professor.
"I think the Democrats are in the position that distinct minority
parties always are in. They have to depend on the mistakes of the
other side" - policy disasters and scandals - to win elections, Guth
said. There's got to be "something that's going to give them an
opportunity."
For instance, the indictment of Republican Agriculture
Commissioner Charlie Sharpe may provide that type of opportunity for
Democrats to pick up a statewide office, Guth said. Erwin sees that
race as an opportunity.
Democrats also are going to find it harder to raise money to
support candidates, Guth said. "They just don't have the financial
base," he said. That's likely to make the party more dependent on
wealthier candidates who can afford to pay their own way, he
said.
Erwin says Democrats now are launching a detailed analysis of
what went wrong and right in Tuesday's election. He's wanting to
explore "psychographics" to tap into the emotions behind voters'
choices.
And, at some point, the party has to reconcile the divide between
the South's conservative Democrats and a more liberal national
agenda, Erwin
said. |