Bits and pieces
from the aftermath
By BRAD
WARTHEN Editorial Page
Editor
WITH EXIT POLLS telling them John Kerry was going to win, Dick
Harpootlian, Rep. James Smith and Mayor Bob Coble chartered a flight
up to Boston Tuesday to be there for the victory party.
“I’ll never believe another exit poll in my life,” Rep. Smith
said. “We had Fred Yang on the phone” and other pollsters from
Republican Frank Luntz to Zogby saying Kerry was winning it when
they flew up.
Mr. Harpootlian downplays that, saying he just wanted to be
there, win or lose. “If politics is your hobby,” it was the place to
be. He said the place was packed with celebrities, “from the Heinz
kid to Christie Brinkley to Kevin Dillon.” (Mr. Smith disputes that,
saying it was Kevin Bacon and Matt Dillon.) Did Ms. Brinkley still
look good? “Oh ... yeah,” he said fervently. “And Alan Dershowitz
still looks bad.”
They were at a fairly small “friends and family party,” as Mr.
Smith describes it, and it was really something to be there and ride
the roller coaster “from the height of absolutely just knowing we
were going to win to the depths of ... ,” and he trailed off.
“Then we just came back,” he said. On the way, they had plenty of
time to discuss what went wrong for the Democrats in this
presidential election.
Maybe it was having just been among all the celebs, but Mr. Smith
said the main hope for the future for the Democratic Party
nationally lies in “not being the party of New York and California
any more,” and finding a way to speak to the rest of the country.
“Democrats locally know how to do that,” and the national party
needs to learn how, too, he said.
Mr. Harpootlian says the Democrats’ mistake was relying on a
message of “Bush is a bad guy and he’s not very smart.” That was a
lousy strategy.
The impression he thinks the public got was that “Bush is kind of
like the friendly family doctor, and Kerry is the aloof brain
surgeon who scares the crap out of you when he gives you the message
and you find out this guy’s going to be cutting on you.”
n
Katon Dawson, chairman of the S.C. Republican Party, has an
analysis that at least in part doesn’t differ all that much from
that of his former counterpart: “People trusted George Bush and they
didn’t understand Kerry’s message.” (Or, as Mr. Harpootlian put it,
“What message?”)
Message wasn’t everything, though, certainly not in South
Carolina. “I attribute it to our message and our organization.” And
the organization for winning the U.S. Senate seat as well as the
presidency, as he describes it, was fairly awesome.
There were two million pieces of mail sent out, and in keeping
with the law, every one was stamped by hand by volunteers.
There were 400,000 volunteer phone calls. Not those irritating
recordings, but live ones, with real people saying “I’m your
neighbor” and asking folks to get out and vote for the GOP
ticket.
All told, $1.2 million was spent on the get-out-the-vote effort,
from mail to phone calls to buying lunches for the volunteers.
He maintains that this effort was helped by the fact that it was
not matched by the opposition. “We didn’t see the Democrats at all”
in the last couple of weeks, he said. “It was like playing on a
field where there was no other team.”
So what’s next for S.C. Republicans? “We’re working right now to
re-elect our governor.” He said the reason the GOP won the U.S.
Senate race was because they started preparing to win it as soon as
the 2000 election was over — even though they didn’t know yet who
their nominee would be.
Well, this time they know who their nominee for governor will be
in two years. And although Mr. Dawson isn’t afraid of the potential
opposition, which he says scuttlebutt describes as “Tommy Moore and
the mayor of somewhere and Bob Coble,” the state GOP is already
gearing up to roll right over whomever it is.
He didn’t mention Inez Tenenbaum as a potential candidate, but I
did, to which he said, “We would love the chance to run against her
again.”
I asked whether he was sure the party was unified behind the
governor, given his significant differences with some key Republican
lawmakers. He waved that aside, and made it clear that one thing was
for sure: “Katon Dawson’s for Mark Sanford.”
n
The governor called me Friday just as I was writing the above,
and I took the occasion to ask how he felt about having worked to
elect Ken Wingate to the Senate — even to the extent of going
door-to-door — only to see his friend and ally solidly beaten by
Joel Lourie.
I had been talking with Richland County GOP chairman Shell Suber
about that race earlier, and his explanation was that “Joel’s a
whale of a good candidate.” Of course, so was Mr. Wingate, “the only
person I’ve known in quite a while willing to work as hard” to get
elected as Mr. Lourie. But that wasn’t enough to overcome Mr.
Lourie’s six years of representing much of the district in the
House.
The governor saw it as part of a larger trend. “DeMint got
walloped by Tenenbaum in the better part of that district,” he said,
adding that Kerry did the same to Bush in those precincts. In the
end, he said, “Everything is possible in politics, but not
everything is probable in politics.”
Of course, that wasn’t the only race the governor got involved
in. And of Mr. Lourie, he wanted it noted that “I never spoke ill
once of him or any other candidate ... except Phil Leventis.”
•
A postscript: Wasn’t that a bust of John Adams behind John Kerry
when he delivered his gracious concession speech? If so, nothing
could be more fitting. If the nation could survive the hateful
campaign of 1800, surely we can come together and put this one
behind us.
Write to Mr. Warthen at bwarthen@thestate.com. |